Forex Blog

In this quick lesson we’ll go over the basic concept of setting up your charts to trade in a support and resistance market,  then make an analysis based on your chart; which leads into developing a trading plan. We’re only going to use basic tools, horizontal lines to mark the support and resistance points we find above and below price then add a few trend lines to help see the patterns unfolding. We’ll start with a Daily chart and move to the 1 hour timeframe to trade from since the 1 hour timeframe is the closest thing to a universal chart as we can get.

First the Daily chart. What we are looking for are the recent turning points in the market and we are going to mark these with a horizontal line. The lines above price (resistance) we’ll color code red since the points above price are where we look for the market to turn short from and become selling points. The lines below price we’ll color code blue since the points below price (support) are where we look to buy at. In (figure 1) I’ve marked the closest Daily chart turning points above and below price. These are the immediate support and resistance points to price, that have proven to be a support or resistance point in recent history.

Figure 1

Now as we add support and resistance points what we want to check is, has price reacted to this same point in recent history other that the original point the market turned from. Something to note is that the markets are not mechanical entities where everything is perfect to the pip, there are times where you’ll see it almost seem magical that price reacts to within a pip a level but I assure you it’s nothing magical. The reality of this is each level should be considered a range around the actual horizontal line. The basics to understanding this is that as market orders are placed not everyone will use the exact same price some will place their orders above it some below it in a range. Add to that, that as the market moves to one of these levels it has to absorb the order flow that comes into the market which can cause overshoots as well as coming up short of the level, simply because there are enough orders placed early to this level being tested it absorbs the orders and a bounce or a rejection occurs, thus the market reverses direction; if it cannot absorb the orders around the level it is broken and price continues to move. There are slight deviations of price and charts from broker to broker that have to be accounted for…the slop I call it.

Other things we want to look for are do these levels align with previous transitional points in the market. These are the points where the market actually breaks the low or high of a previous trading period and reverses direction. We at Trade Kings Club call them Logic points. We also like to see highs of candles matched up in history with candle lows, which we like to call pivotal points. In figure 2 I’ve marked some of these points to our first 2 levels.

This week we'll look at using the Fibonacci retracement tool to gauge price movement and give some pointers on using the Fibonacci retracement tool. In this example we'll use the USD/Yen and start from the 4 hour perspective. (Figure 1) is the starting point where we watch the retracement. After making a high we see price begin to fall, find mild support and begin to move back up. As it moves back up we can use the fib tool to point out the resistance levels to price.

Figure 1

As it moves back up we watch the price action as price comes into contact with the resistance levels. We find that selling pressure is present and a short trade becomes possible.